Contours of conflict: Naivety of Omar Adullah..

It is not the pro azadi movement in Kashmir which has a potential to create news. But it is the resistance applied to the movement by the state which is creating news. Let us examine this hypothesis form the time Shopian incident rocked the nation.
In one of the most unfortunate incidents two women were raped and murdered. The pro azadi elements took no time to en-cash it. They swiftly organized a protest accusing Indian security forces for the rape and murder. Reacting to the situation CM Omar Abdulla initially opposed the allegation and as the crescendo of disagreement build up, he suspended the DC. He applied central forces in haste to stem the tide which was inflationary. This resulted in deaths of protestors.

The entire episode would have not created much uproar if asymmetric force would not have been applied. The situation should have been left to Jammu and Kashmir Police. It was due to this application of force the separatists’ were able to rally crowds on grounds of mutilation of human rights in the state.

In the first instance we need to clarify that is there a requirement of application of asymmetric force in Kashmir. My answer to this would be a blunt NO. Kashmir lies at the end of a supply line. It is a state which has 90% of religiously homogenous population. Article 370 has ensured that there is no major outside investment. There are no mineral resources that feed the national economy. The tourism industry including the Amarnath Yatra sustains economy of the state. So the disobedience is going to hurt whom? The answer is Kashmirs. All political parties, pro Azadi, pro Pak or pro Indian know that a prolonged economic shutdown will affect the people who form their vote bank. So the possibility of mass violence and damage to property can be ruled out.
Jammu Kashmir Police is by far the best force to tackle the unrest. They being locals are feared. And fear brings in respect. The CRPF being a central force with no clear command structure is the piggybacked by everyone for their moment of glory. The most hardworking and sincere of the forces gets handicapped with the clause of in aid to civil police where the decision to baton charge or opening fire lies with a Kashmir Cadre officer. Believe me it is the ultimate leadership skill to convince your men to get hit successively without retaliating. I salute the Junior CRPF officers on ground for accomplishing these almost impossible feet.

A question here arises why the State police which is trained and capable is not used to its fullest extent? The answer is simple. Application of state police does not create any Sansani-ationalism. Application of CRPF does. CRPF is deployed stating that the situation out of control with a mandate to restore the normalcy. The state police are made to recede to background. This is when the casualties occur. The design is flawless. If you use minors for stone pelting, only minors will die. This can be further exploited.

Now let us see the alleged issue of Human Rights Violation. The crowd gathers after Friday prayers. (Mausima, Down Town in Srinagar, Hathikhan and Bag e Islam in Sopore, Old Town in Baramulla ONLY). It starts protesting and slowly the crowd turns into a mob and stone pelting begins. Several passersby are hit and injured. Police persons get injured. Last year one such stone hit the eye of a CRPF jawan. The private hospitals in Sopore refused first Aid! Almost three civilians and one Child have died due to these senseless protests. Will Mehbooba Mufti, SAS Gilani and their surrogate Parents in Pakistan Tell me Who is violating Human Rights?( Amnesty International is welcome to answer this.)
http://www.zeenews.com/news623118.html

What were the conditions then, which impelled CM Omar Abdulla, to deploy the Army to the streets of Srinagar? The Answer is Simple. It should be seen in this context. In March he made a statement in That Kashmiri Blood is not cheap. He then stated in Srinagar that Human Rights Accesses will not be tolerated. He then stated that that the anger of stone peters is not directed at the state government. I agree to his self admission of political naivety here. No one noticed him.
http://www.greaterkashmir.com/news/2010/Apr/21/kashmiri-blood-not-cheap-omar-83.asp

The Answer is hidden in his statements. Raise the level of force application. This will certainly paint a picture of a state of desperateness to the Global audience. If God forbids any major casualties occur, the Indian Army will be at the receiving end. (Bommai incident last year is a precursor to this).Within no time the protest will gather an unprecedented momentum. The AFSPA will be challenged on the streets of Kashmir and army will be forced on the back foot. This will give an edge to the terrorist cadres which are presently in hibernation. And we will see resurgence in the terrorism.

The challenge now lies with the Indian Army to come out unscathed from this acid test.